Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 996.875777 1123.221647 1261.036264 1422.780379 1607.737107 1813.014511 2058.626656
2026-01-18 797.773268 968.754840 1171.230846 1429.817903 1752.897907 2145.311322 2661.194478
2026-01-25 698.908942 892.744570 1135.483797 1464.107727 1900.929996 2466.539257 3262.333969
2026-02-01 624.558963 830.761935 1100.874653 1484.318924 2020.621029 2752.913330 3843.712506
2026-02-08 564.302500 776.875238 1066.220743 1494.064039 2119.463090 3014.026120 4415.475328
2026-02-15 517.716800 734.778339 1040.479731 1509.320402 2222.483227 3286.609218 5032.711043
2026-02-22 482.776188 704.484570 1026.625508 1537.586886 2344.066534 3595.903313 5741.674768
2026-03-01 437.008048 653.147496 975.783146 1502.731062 2361.772495 3742.408332 6202.514016
2026-03-08 394.652478 602.704835 920.931076 1454.685442 2350.905166 3838.092442 6584.889684
2026-03-15 358.390809 558.340471 871.153870 1408.976788 2337.321644 3924.845765 6958.312919
2026-03-22 344.509011 548.162515 874.499805 1450.594231 2474.911162 4284.309995 7871.739017
2026-03-29 327.532167 531.328360 865.165837 1469.051658 2572.720658 4582.209728 8706.945495
2026-04-05 309.866642 512.396513 851.495661 1480.011592 2660.810389 4877.354227 9590.086778
2026-04-12 293.102797 493.689371 836.690124 1487.598935 2743.722479 5173.117184 10520.588535
2026-04-19 282.371242 484.471915 837.453533 1523.414537 2883.665852 5595.685516 11781.291682
2026-04-26 270.342985 471.897481 830.968454 1544.532579 2996.331554 5975.687647 13005.932764
2026-05-03 257.802820 457.355622 819.556110 1554.715227 3087.393590 6320.662657 14203.286331
2026-05-10 247.043938 445.232324 811.563112 1570.657198 3191.671402 6705.756814 15555.758281
2026-05-17 238.775631 437.121359 810.444517 1600.195903 3327.781965 7177.233717 17196.566459
2026-05-24 223.395922 414.275915 778.960073 1563.771648 3315.284787 7308.685930 17994.478463
2026-05-31 207.736214 389.818396 742.503697 1513.570456 3266.562681 7349.389271 18560.236303
2026-06-07 193.571911 367.386689 708.533617 1465.818110 3218.595888 7386.262611 19122.106159
2026-06-14 189.791441 365.424164 715.958010 1509.296039 3387.991402 7975.101768 21318.442858